Eskom Aims for No Load Shedding This Winter If Outages Stay Low

Optimistic Winter Power Outlook

Eskom announced on Monday that it is optimistic about South Africa’s power outlook for winter, aiming to avoid electricity cuts over the next four months if breakdowns remain at current levels.

Improved Performance After Years of Struggle

For over a decade, Eskom’s power supply challenges have hindered economic growth. However, a significant turnaround in plant performance last year resulted in nine consecutive months without load shedding, including the entire winter season.

CEO Outlines Contingency Scenarios

During a briefing, CEO Dan Marokane stated that Eskom expects no electricity cuts until the end of August if unplanned outages stay below 13,000MW. However, if outages rise to 14,000MW, there could be one day of load shedding, increasing to 21 days if outages reach 15,000MW.

Current Generation Capacity

As of March 2024, Eskom’s nominal generating capacity exceeds 46,000MW, primarily from coal-fired plants. The utility also operates a nuclear power station and smaller plants using diesel or hydroelectric power.

System Reliability Improving

Marokane emphasized that South Africa’s power system is now more reliable than in recent years. He described the 14 days of load shedding between January and April 2024 as a temporary setback, maintaining that electricity availability continues to improve.

“This year’s winter outlook prediction is built on an improvement in operational performance and overall efficiency,” Marokane said.

Source: Times Live

Credit: Reuters